Vinte Viviendas (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.00

VINTE Stock  MXN 33.00  0.35  1.07%   
Vinte Viviendas' future price is the expected price of Vinte Viviendas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vinte Viviendas Integrales performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vinte Viviendas Backtesting, Vinte Viviendas Valuation, Vinte Viviendas Correlation, Vinte Viviendas Hype Analysis, Vinte Viviendas Volatility, Vinte Viviendas History as well as Vinte Viviendas Performance.
  
Please specify Vinte Viviendas' target price for which you would like Vinte Viviendas odds to be computed.

Vinte Viviendas Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of Vinte Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days
 33.00 90 days 0.00 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vinte Viviendas to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Vinte Viviendas Integrales probability density function shows the probability of Vinte Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vinte Viviendas Inte price to stay between  0.00  and its current price of 33.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vinte Viviendas Integrales has a beta of -0.0886. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vinte Viviendas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vinte Viviendas Integrales is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vinte Viviendas Integrales has an alpha of 0.0565, implying that it can generate a 0.0565 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vinte Viviendas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vinte Viviendas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vinte Viviendas Inte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vinte Viviendas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.5032.9233.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.7632.9733.17
Details

Vinte Viviendas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vinte Viviendas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vinte Viviendas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vinte Viviendas Integrales, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vinte Viviendas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Vinte Viviendas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vinte Viviendas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vinte Viviendas Inte can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vinte Viviendas Inte has accumulated 2.66 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Vinte Viviendas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vinte Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vinte Viviendas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vinte Viviendas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding216.4 M

Vinte Viviendas Technical Analysis

Vinte Viviendas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vinte Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vinte Viviendas Integrales. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vinte Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vinte Viviendas Predictive Forecast Models

Vinte Viviendas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Vinte Viviendas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vinte Viviendas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vinte Viviendas Inte

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vinte Viviendas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vinte Viviendas Inte help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vinte Viviendas Inte has accumulated 2.66 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Vinte Stock

Vinte Viviendas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vinte Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vinte with respect to the benefits of owning Vinte Viviendas security.