Virtus Investment (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 290.0

VIP Stock  EUR 236.00  4.00  1.72%   
Virtus Investment's future price is the expected price of Virtus Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Virtus Investment Partners performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Virtus Investment Backtesting, Virtus Investment Valuation, Virtus Investment Correlation, Virtus Investment Hype Analysis, Virtus Investment Volatility, Virtus Investment History as well as Virtus Investment Performance.
  
Please specify Virtus Investment's target price for which you would like Virtus Investment odds to be computed.

Virtus Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 290.0

The tendency of Virtus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 290.00  or more in 90 days
 236.00 90 days 290.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Virtus Investment to move over € 290.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Virtus Investment Partners probability density function shows the probability of Virtus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Virtus Investment price to stay between its current price of € 236.00  and € 290.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.27 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Virtus Investment has a beta of 0.22. This entails as returns on the market go up, Virtus Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Virtus Investment Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Virtus Investment Partners has an alpha of 0.349, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Virtus Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Virtus Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtus Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
233.83236.00238.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
212.40260.21262.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
232.16234.33236.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
189.94217.31244.67
Details

Virtus Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Virtus Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Virtus Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Virtus Investment Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Virtus Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
17.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Virtus Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Virtus Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Virtus Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Virtus Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Virtus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Virtus Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Virtus Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.2 M

Virtus Investment Technical Analysis

Virtus Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Virtus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Virtus Investment Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Virtus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Virtus Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Virtus Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Virtus Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Virtus Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Virtus Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Virtus Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Virtus Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Virtus Stock

Virtus Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Virtus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Virtus with respect to the benefits of owning Virtus Investment security.