Vitrolife (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 201.91

VITR Stock  SEK 228.60  7.20  3.25%   
Vitrolife's future price is the expected price of Vitrolife instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vitrolife AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vitrolife Backtesting, Vitrolife Valuation, Vitrolife Correlation, Vitrolife Hype Analysis, Vitrolife Volatility, Vitrolife History as well as Vitrolife Performance.
  
Please specify Vitrolife's target price for which you would like Vitrolife odds to be computed.

Vitrolife Target Price Odds to finish below 201.91

The tendency of Vitrolife Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 201.91  or more in 90 days
 228.60 90 days 201.91 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vitrolife to drop to kr 201.91  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vitrolife AB probability density function shows the probability of Vitrolife Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vitrolife AB price to stay between kr 201.91  and its current price of kr228.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vitrolife has a beta of 0.41. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vitrolife average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vitrolife AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vitrolife AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vitrolife Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vitrolife

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vitrolife AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
226.12228.60231.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
205.02207.50251.46
Details

Vitrolife Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vitrolife is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vitrolife's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vitrolife AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vitrolife within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0039
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
11.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Vitrolife Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vitrolife for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vitrolife AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Vitrolife Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vitrolife Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vitrolife's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vitrolife's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments630.1 M

Vitrolife Technical Analysis

Vitrolife's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vitrolife Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vitrolife AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vitrolife Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vitrolife Predictive Forecast Models

Vitrolife's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vitrolife's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vitrolife's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vitrolife AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vitrolife for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vitrolife AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Additional Tools for Vitrolife Stock Analysis

When running Vitrolife's price analysis, check to measure Vitrolife's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vitrolife is operating at the current time. Most of Vitrolife's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vitrolife's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vitrolife's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vitrolife to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.