Invesco Municipal Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.48
| VKQ Stock | USD 9.97 0.09 0.91% |
Invesco |
Invesco Municipal Target Price Odds to finish below 9.48
The tendency of Invesco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.48 or more in 90 days |
| 9.97 | 90 days | 9.48 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Municipal to drop to $ 9.48 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Invesco Municipal Trust probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Municipal Trust price to stay between $ 9.48 and its current price of $9.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.83 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco Municipal Trust has a beta of -0.0243. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Invesco Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Invesco Municipal Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Invesco Municipal Trust has an alpha of 0.0017, implying that it can generate a 0.001703 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Invesco Municipal Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Invesco Municipal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Municipal Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Invesco Municipal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Municipal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Municipal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Municipal Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Municipal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Invesco Municipal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Municipal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Municipal Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| On 31st of October 2024 Invesco Municipal paid $ 0.0628 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Saba Capital Management Reduces Stake in Invesco Municipal Oppor - GuruFocus.com |
Invesco Municipal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco Municipal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Municipal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 M |
Invesco Municipal Technical Analysis
Invesco Municipal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Municipal Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco Municipal Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco Municipal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Municipal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Municipal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invesco Municipal Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Municipal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Municipal Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| On 31st of October 2024 Invesco Municipal paid $ 0.0628 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Saba Capital Management Reduces Stake in Invesco Municipal Oppor - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Invesco Stock Analysis
When running Invesco Municipal's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Municipal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Municipal is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Municipal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Municipal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Municipal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Municipal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.