Vanguard Canadian Long Term Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 19.94
| VLB Etf | CAD 20.97 0.11 0.53% |
Vanguard |
Vanguard Canadian Target Price Odds to finish below 19.94
The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 19.94 or more in 90 days |
| 20.97 | 90 days | 19.94 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Canadian to drop to C$ 19.94 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vanguard Canadian Long Term probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Canadian Long price to stay between C$ 19.94 and its current price of C$20.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vanguard Canadian Long Term has a beta of -0.0982. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vanguard Canadian are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vanguard Canadian Long Term is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vanguard Canadian Long Term has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vanguard Canadian Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Vanguard Canadian
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Canadian Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vanguard Canadian Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Canadian is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Canadian's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Canadian Long Term, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Canadian within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
Vanguard Canadian Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Canadian for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Canadian Long can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vanguard Canadian generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Vanguard Investments Canada Announces Estimated 2024 Annual Capital Gains Distributions for the Vanguard ETFs - The Manila Times | |
| Vanguard Canadian Long generated five year return of -3.0% | |
| This fund keeps about 100.0% of its net assets in bonds |
Vanguard Canadian Technical Analysis
Vanguard Canadian's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Canadian Long Term. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vanguard Canadian Predictive Forecast Models
Vanguard Canadian's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Canadian's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Canadian's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vanguard Canadian Long
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Canadian for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Canadian Long help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vanguard Canadian generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Vanguard Investments Canada Announces Estimated 2024 Annual Capital Gains Distributions for the Vanguard ETFs - The Manila Times | |
| Vanguard Canadian Long generated five year return of -3.0% | |
| This fund keeps about 100.0% of its net assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Etf
Vanguard Canadian financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Canadian security.