Vista Land (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.6

VLL Stock   1.62  0.01  0.62%   
Vista Land's future price is the expected price of Vista Land instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vista Land and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vista Land Backtesting, Vista Land Valuation, Vista Land Correlation, Vista Land Hype Analysis, Vista Land Volatility, Vista Land History as well as Vista Land Performance.
  
Please specify Vista Land's target price for which you would like Vista Land odds to be computed.

Vista Land Target Price Odds to finish below 1.6

The tendency of Vista Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1.60  or more in 90 days
 1.62 90 days 1.60 
about 49.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vista Land to drop to  1.60  or more in 90 days from now is about 49.81 (This Vista Land and probability density function shows the probability of Vista Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vista Land price to stay between  1.60  and its current price of 1.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vista Land and has a beta of -0.18. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vista Land are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vista Land and is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vista Land and has an alpha of 0.1769, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vista Land Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vista Land

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vista Land. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.623.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.363.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.693.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.611.621.63
Details

Vista Land Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vista Land is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vista Land's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vista Land and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vista Land within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Vista Land Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vista Land for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vista Land can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vista Land may become a speculative penny stock

Vista Land Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vista Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vista Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vista Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.9 B
Dividends Paid326.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27.9 B

Vista Land Technical Analysis

Vista Land's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vista Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vista Land and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vista Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vista Land Predictive Forecast Models

Vista Land's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vista Land's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vista Land's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vista Land

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vista Land for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vista Land help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vista Land may become a speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in Vista Stock

Vista Land financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vista Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vista with respect to the benefits of owning Vista Land security.