Vanguard Limited Term Tax Exempt Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.76
| VMLUX Fund | USD 10.88 0.01 0.09% |
Vanguard |
Vanguard Limited Target Price Odds to finish below 10.76
The tendency of Vanguard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.76 or more in 90 days |
| 10.88 | 90 days | 10.76 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Limited to drop to $ 10.76 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vanguard Limited Term Tax Exempt probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Limited Term price to stay between $ 10.76 and its current price of $10.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Limited has a beta of 0.0272. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Limited average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Limited Term Tax Exempt will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Limited Term Tax Exempt has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vanguard Limited Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vanguard Limited
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Limited Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Limited's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Limited Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Limited is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Limited's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Limited Term Tax Exempt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Limited within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0043 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.91 |
Vanguard Limited Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Limited for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Limited Term can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund keeps about 96.6% of its net assets in bonds |
Vanguard Limited Technical Analysis
Vanguard Limited's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Limited Term Tax Exempt. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vanguard Limited Predictive Forecast Models
Vanguard Limited's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Limited's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Limited's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vanguard Limited Term
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Limited for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Limited Term help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund keeps about 96.6% of its net assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund
Vanguard Limited financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Limited security.
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