Viking Tax Free Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.90
| VMTIX Fund | USD 9.12 0.01 0.11% |
Viking |
Viking Tax-free Target Price Odds to finish below 8.90
The tendency of Viking Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.90 or more in 90 days |
| 9.12 | 90 days | 8.90 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Viking Tax-free to drop to $ 8.90 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Viking Tax Free Fund probability density function shows the probability of Viking Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Viking Tax Free price to stay between $ 8.90 and its current price of $9.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Viking Tax-free has a beta of 0.0312. This entails as returns on the market go up, Viking Tax-free average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Viking Tax Free Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Viking Tax Free Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Viking Tax-free Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Viking Tax-free
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Viking Tax Free. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Viking Tax-free Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Viking Tax-free is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Viking Tax-free's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Viking Tax Free Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Viking Tax-free within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.61 |
Viking Tax-free Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Viking Tax-free for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Viking Tax Free can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Viking Tax Free generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Viking Tax Free keeps about 99.75% of its net assets in bonds |
Viking Tax-free Technical Analysis
Viking Tax-free's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Viking Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Viking Tax Free Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Viking Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Viking Tax-free Predictive Forecast Models
Viking Tax-free's time-series forecasting models is one of many Viking Tax-free's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Viking Tax-free's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Viking Tax Free
Checking the ongoing alerts about Viking Tax-free for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Viking Tax Free help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Viking Tax Free generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Viking Tax Free keeps about 99.75% of its net assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Viking Mutual Fund
Viking Tax-free financial ratios help investors to determine whether Viking Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Viking with respect to the benefits of owning Viking Tax-free security.
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device |