Volitionrx Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| VNRX Stock | USD 0.79 0.02 1.99% |
Volitionrx |
Volitionrx Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Volitionrx Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.79 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Volitionrx to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Volitionrx probability density function shows the probability of Volitionrx Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Volitionrx price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.79 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Volitionrx has a beta of 0.94. This entails Volitionrx market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Volitionrx is expected to follow. Additionally Volitionrx has an alpha of 0.3346, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Volitionrx Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Volitionrx
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Volitionrx. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Volitionrx Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Volitionrx is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Volitionrx's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Volitionrx, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Volitionrx within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Volitionrx Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Volitionrx for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Volitionrx can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Volitionrx is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Volitionrx has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Volitionrx appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Volitionrx has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 775.3 K. Net Loss for the year was (35.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 306.39 K. | |
| Volitionrx currently holds about 16.42 M in cash with (18.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28. | |
| Volitionrx has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: VolitionRX Ltd Reports Q3 Revenue of 475,000, Missing Estimates of 0.65 Million |
Volitionrx Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Volitionrx Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Volitionrx's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Volitionrx's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.7 M |
Volitionrx Technical Analysis
Volitionrx's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Volitionrx Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Volitionrx. In general, you should focus on analyzing Volitionrx Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Volitionrx Predictive Forecast Models
Volitionrx's time-series forecasting models is one of many Volitionrx's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Volitionrx's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Volitionrx
Checking the ongoing alerts about Volitionrx for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Volitionrx help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Volitionrx is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Volitionrx has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Volitionrx appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Volitionrx has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 775.3 K. Net Loss for the year was (35.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 306.39 K. | |
| Volitionrx currently holds about 16.42 M in cash with (18.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28. | |
| Volitionrx has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: VolitionRX Ltd Reports Q3 Revenue of 475,000, Missing Estimates of 0.65 Million |
Additional Tools for Volitionrx Stock Analysis
When running Volitionrx's price analysis, check to measure Volitionrx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Volitionrx is operating at the current time. Most of Volitionrx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Volitionrx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Volitionrx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Volitionrx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.