VNV Global (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.57
| VNV Stock | SEK 18.98 0.45 2.32% |
VNV |
VNV Global Target Price Odds to finish below 18.57
The tendency of VNV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 18.57 or more in 90 days |
| 18.98 | 90 days | 18.57 | about 8.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VNV Global to drop to kr 18.57 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.77 (This VNV Global AB probability density function shows the probability of VNV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VNV Global AB price to stay between kr 18.57 and its current price of kr18.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VNV Global AB has a beta of -0.25. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VNV Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VNV Global AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VNV Global AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VNV Global Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for VNV Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VNV Global AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VNV Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VNV Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VNV Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VNV Global AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VNV Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
VNV Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VNV Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VNV Global AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VNV Global AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VNV Global AB has accumulated about 83.44 M in cash with (191.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
VNV Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VNV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VNV Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VNV Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 104.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 124.2 M |
VNV Global Technical Analysis
VNV Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VNV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VNV Global AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing VNV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VNV Global Predictive Forecast Models
VNV Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many VNV Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VNV Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VNV Global AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about VNV Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VNV Global AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VNV Global AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VNV Global AB has accumulated about 83.44 M in cash with (191.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for VNV Stock Analysis
When running VNV Global's price analysis, check to measure VNV Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VNV Global is operating at the current time. Most of VNV Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VNV Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VNV Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VNV Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.