Vodafone Group (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 72.77
| VOD Stock | 71.36 0.32 0.45% |
Vodafone |
Vodafone Group Target Price Odds to finish below 72.77
The tendency of Vodafone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 72.77 after 90 days |
| 71.36 | 90 days | 72.77 | about 31.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vodafone Group to stay under 72.77 after 90 days from now is about 31.78 (This Vodafone Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of Vodafone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vodafone Group PLC price to stay between its current price of 71.36 and 72.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vodafone Group has a beta of 0.35. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vodafone Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vodafone Group PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vodafone Group PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vodafone Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vodafone Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vodafone Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vodafone Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vodafone Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vodafone Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vodafone Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vodafone Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Vodafone Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vodafone Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vodafone Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vodafone Group PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vodafone Group PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Vodafone Boosts Treasury with Major Share Buyback - TipRanks |
Vodafone Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vodafone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vodafone Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vodafone Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.5 B |
Vodafone Group Technical Analysis
Vodafone Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vodafone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vodafone Group PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vodafone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vodafone Group Predictive Forecast Models
Vodafone Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vodafone Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vodafone Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vodafone Group PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vodafone Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vodafone Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vodafone Group PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vodafone Group PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Vodafone Boosts Treasury with Major Share Buyback - TipRanks |
Check out Vodafone Group Backtesting, Vodafone Group Valuation, Vodafone Group Correlation, Vodafone Group Hype Analysis, Vodafone Group Volatility, Vodafone Group History as well as Vodafone Group Performance. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.