Vodafone Group Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.98
| VOD Stock | USD 8.73 0.13 1.51% |
Vodafone |
Vodafone Group Target Price Odds to finish over 8.98
The tendency of Vodafone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 8.98 or more in 90 days |
| 8.73 | 90 days | 8.98 | about 82.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vodafone Group to move over $ 8.98 or more in 90 days from now is about 82.3 (This Vodafone Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of Vodafone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vodafone Group PLC price to stay between its current price of $ 8.73 and $ 8.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.48 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vodafone Group has a beta of 0.4. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vodafone Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vodafone Group PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vodafone Group PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vodafone Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vodafone Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vodafone Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vodafone Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vodafone Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vodafone Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vodafone Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vodafone Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Vodafone Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vodafone Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vodafone Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vodafone Group PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vodafone Group PLC has 57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.27, which is OK given its current industry classification. Vodafone Group PLC has a current ratio of 0.83, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Vodafone to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Latest headline from telegraph.co.uk: BT wrongly charged me 2k for four years but refuses to refund me |
Vodafone Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vodafone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vodafone Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vodafone Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.3 B |
Vodafone Group Technical Analysis
Vodafone Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vodafone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vodafone Group PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vodafone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vodafone Group Predictive Forecast Models
Vodafone Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vodafone Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vodafone Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vodafone Group PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vodafone Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vodafone Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vodafone Group PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vodafone Group PLC has 57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.27, which is OK given its current industry classification. Vodafone Group PLC has a current ratio of 0.83, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Vodafone to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Latest headline from telegraph.co.uk: BT wrongly charged me 2k for four years but refuses to refund me |
Check out Vodafone Group Backtesting, Vodafone Group Valuation, Vodafone Group Correlation, Vodafone Group Hype Analysis, Vodafone Group Volatility, Vodafone Group History as well as Vodafone Group Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Wireless Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vodafone Group. If investors know Vodafone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vodafone Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.21 | Dividend Share 0.068 | Earnings Share 0.92 | Revenue Per Share 6.88 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.016 |
The market value of Vodafone Group PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vodafone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vodafone Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vodafone Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vodafone Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vodafone Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vodafone Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vodafone Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vodafone Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.