Vodacom Group Limited Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 5.00

VODAFDelisted Stock  USD 5.00  0.00  0.00%   
Vodacom Group's future price is the expected price of Vodacom Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vodacom Group Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Please specify Vodacom Group's target price for which you would like Vodacom Group odds to be computed.

Vodacom Group Target Price Odds to finish over 5.00

The tendency of Vodacom Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.00 90 days 5.00 
about 78.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vodacom Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.98 (This Vodacom Group Limited probability density function shows the probability of Vodacom Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vodacom Group has a beta of 0.1. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vodacom Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vodacom Group Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vodacom Group Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vodacom Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vodacom Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vodacom Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.005.005.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.574.575.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.914.914.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.005.005.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vodacom Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vodacom Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vodacom Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vodacom Group Limited.

Vodacom Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vodacom Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vodacom Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vodacom Group Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vodacom Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Vodacom Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vodacom Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vodacom Group Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vodacom Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Vodacom Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Vodacom Group Limited has accumulated 20.56 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vodacom Group Limited has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vodacom Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vodacom Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vodacom Group Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vodacom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vodacom Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 59.0% of Vodacom Group outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Vodacom Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vodacom Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vodacom Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vodacom Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B

Vodacom Group Technical Analysis

Vodacom Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vodacom Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vodacom Group Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vodacom Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vodacom Group Predictive Forecast Models

Vodacom Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vodacom Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vodacom Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vodacom Group Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vodacom Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vodacom Group Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vodacom Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Vodacom Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Vodacom Group Limited has accumulated 20.56 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vodacom Group Limited has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vodacom Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vodacom Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vodacom Group Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vodacom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vodacom Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 59.0% of Vodacom Group outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Vodacom Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Vodacom Group Limited check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Vodacom Group's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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