Vodafone Group (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 174.82
| VODN Stock | MXN 180.00 4.10 2.33% |
Vodafone |
Vodafone Group Target Price Odds to finish over 174.82
The tendency of Vodafone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 174.82 in 90 days |
| 180.00 | 90 days | 174.82 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vodafone Group to stay above 174.82 in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Vodafone Group Plc probability density function shows the probability of Vodafone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vodafone Group Plc price to stay between 174.82 and its current price of 180.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vodafone Group has a beta of 0.29. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vodafone Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vodafone Group Plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vodafone Group Plc has an alpha of 0.023, implying that it can generate a 0.023 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vodafone Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Vodafone Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vodafone Group Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vodafone Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vodafone Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vodafone Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vodafone Group Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vodafone Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Vodafone Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vodafone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vodafone Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vodafone Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.4 B |
Vodafone Group Technical Analysis
Vodafone Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vodafone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vodafone Group Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vodafone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vodafone Group Predictive Forecast Models
Vodafone Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vodafone Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vodafone Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vodafone Group in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vodafone Group's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vodafone Group options trading.
Additional Tools for Vodafone Stock Analysis
When running Vodafone Group's price analysis, check to measure Vodafone Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vodafone Group is operating at the current time. Most of Vodafone Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vodafone Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vodafone Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vodafone Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.