Controladora Vuela (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.28
| VOLARA Stock | MXN 15.55 0.43 2.69% |
Controladora |
Controladora Vuela Target Price Odds to finish below 16.28
The tendency of Controladora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 16.28 after 90 days |
| 15.55 | 90 days | 16.28 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Controladora Vuela to stay under 16.28 after 90 days from now is under 95 (This Controladora Vuela Compaa probability density function shows the probability of Controladora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Controladora Vuela Compaa price to stay between its current price of 15.55 and 16.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Controladora Vuela has a beta of 0.14. This entails as returns on the market go up, Controladora Vuela average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Controladora Vuela Compaa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Controladora Vuela Compaa has an alpha of 0.5259, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Controladora Vuela Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Controladora Vuela
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Controladora Vuela Compaa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Controladora Vuela Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Controladora Vuela is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Controladora Vuela's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Controladora Vuela Compaa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Controladora Vuela within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Controladora Vuela Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Controladora Vuela for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Controladora Vuela Compaa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Controladora Vuela Compaa has accumulated 2.22 B in total debt. Controladora Vuela Compaa has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Controladora Vuela until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Controladora Vuela's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Controladora Vuela Compaa sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Controladora to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Controladora Vuela's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Controladora Vuela Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Controladora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Controladora Vuela's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Controladora Vuela's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Controladora Vuela Technical Analysis
Controladora Vuela's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Controladora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Controladora Vuela Compaa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Controladora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Controladora Vuela Predictive Forecast Models
Controladora Vuela's time-series forecasting models is one of many Controladora Vuela's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Controladora Vuela's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Controladora Vuela Compaa
Checking the ongoing alerts about Controladora Vuela for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Controladora Vuela Compaa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Controladora Vuela Compaa has accumulated 2.22 B in total debt. Controladora Vuela Compaa has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Controladora Vuela until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Controladora Vuela's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Controladora Vuela Compaa sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Controladora to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Controladora Vuela's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Controladora Stock
Controladora Vuela financial ratios help investors to determine whether Controladora Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Controladora with respect to the benefits of owning Controladora Vuela security.