Volati AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 599.60

VOLO-PREF  SEK 626.00  2.00  0.32%   
Volati AB's future price is the expected price of Volati AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Volati AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Volati AB Backtesting, Volati AB Valuation, Volati AB Correlation, Volati AB Hype Analysis, Volati AB Volatility, Volati AB History as well as Volati AB Performance.
  
Please specify Volati AB's target price for which you would like Volati AB odds to be computed.

Volati AB Target Price Odds to finish below 599.60

The tendency of Volati Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 599.60  or more in 90 days
 626.00 90 days 599.60 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Volati AB to drop to kr 599.60  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Volati AB probability density function shows the probability of Volati Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Volati AB price to stay between kr 599.60  and its current price of kr626.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Volati AB has a beta of 0.1. This entails as returns on the market go up, Volati AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Volati AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Volati AB has an alpha of 0.0067, implying that it can generate a 0.006676 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Volati AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Volati AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Volati AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
625.71626.00626.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
621.78622.07688.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
622.64622.93623.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
623.45625.33627.22
Details

Volati AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Volati AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Volati AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Volati AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Volati AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
6.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

Volati AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Volati AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Volati AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Volati AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Volati AB has accumulated 472 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 94.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Volati AB has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Volati AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Volati AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Volati AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Volati to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Volati AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 33.0% of Volati AB outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Volati AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Volati Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Volati AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Volati AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments203 M

Volati AB Technical Analysis

Volati AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Volati Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Volati AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Volati Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Volati AB Predictive Forecast Models

Volati AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Volati AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Volati AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Volati AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Volati AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Volati AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Volati AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Volati AB has accumulated 472 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 94.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Volati AB has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Volati AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Volati AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Volati AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Volati to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Volati AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 33.0% of Volati AB outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Additional Tools for Volati Stock Analysis

When running Volati AB's price analysis, check to measure Volati AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Volati AB is operating at the current time. Most of Volati AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Volati AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Volati AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Volati AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.