Voltas (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1765.38

VOLTAS Stock   1,797  28.50  1.61%   
Voltas' future price is the expected price of Voltas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Voltas Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Voltas Backtesting, Voltas Valuation, Voltas Correlation, Voltas Hype Analysis, Voltas Volatility, Voltas History as well as Voltas Performance.
  
Please specify Voltas' target price for which you would like Voltas odds to be computed.

Voltas Target Price Odds to finish below 1765.38

The tendency of Voltas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1,765  or more in 90 days
 1,797 90 days 1,765 
about 44.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Voltas to drop to  1,765  or more in 90 days from now is about 44.85 (This Voltas Limited probability density function shows the probability of Voltas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Voltas Limited price to stay between  1,765  and its current price of 1797.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Voltas has a beta of 0.35. This entails as returns on the market go up, Voltas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Voltas Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Voltas Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Voltas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Voltas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voltas Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,7641,7651,767
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,6061,6081,943
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,8141,8151,817
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.506.937.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Voltas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Voltas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Voltas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Voltas Limited.

Voltas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Voltas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Voltas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Voltas Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Voltas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
85.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Voltas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Voltas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Voltas Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Voltas Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Voltas Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Voltas Share Price Voltas stock price down 0.03 per cent as Sensex slides - Economic Times

Voltas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Voltas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Voltas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Voltas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding330.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments17.4 B

Voltas Technical Analysis

Voltas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Voltas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Voltas Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Voltas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Voltas Predictive Forecast Models

Voltas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Voltas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Voltas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Voltas Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Voltas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Voltas Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Voltas Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Voltas Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Voltas Share Price Voltas stock price down 0.03 per cent as Sensex slides - Economic Times

Other Information on Investing in Voltas Stock

Voltas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Voltas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Voltas with respect to the benefits of owning Voltas security.