AB Volvo (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 268.51
| VOLV-B Stock | SEK 267.60 2.10 0.78% |
VOLV-B |
AB Volvo Target Price Odds to finish below 268.51
The tendency of VOLV-B Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under kr 268.51 after 90 days |
| 267.60 | 90 days | 268.51 | about 48.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AB Volvo to stay under kr 268.51 after 90 days from now is about 48.32 (This AB Volvo probability density function shows the probability of VOLV-B Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AB Volvo price to stay between its current price of kr 267.60 and kr 268.51 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AB Volvo has a beta of 0.36. This entails as returns on the market go up, AB Volvo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AB Volvo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AB Volvo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AB Volvo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AB Volvo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AB Volvo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AB Volvo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AB Volvo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AB Volvo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AB Volvo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AB Volvo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
AB Volvo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AB Volvo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AB Volvo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AB Volvo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AB Volvo has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
AB Volvo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VOLV-B Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AB Volvo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AB Volvo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 26.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 84 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 6.5 | |
| Shares Float | 1.9 B |
AB Volvo Technical Analysis
AB Volvo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VOLV-B Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AB Volvo. In general, you should focus on analyzing VOLV-B Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AB Volvo Predictive Forecast Models
AB Volvo's time-series forecasting models is one of many AB Volvo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AB Volvo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AB Volvo
Checking the ongoing alerts about AB Volvo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AB Volvo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AB Volvo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AB Volvo has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in VOLV-B Stock
AB Volvo financial ratios help investors to determine whether VOLV-B Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VOLV-B with respect to the benefits of owning AB Volvo security.