Vontobel Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.18
| VONN Stock | CHF 58.10 0.40 0.69% |
Vontobel |
Vontobel Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 51.18
The tendency of Vontobel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 51.18 or more in 90 days |
| 58.10 | 90 days | 51.18 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vontobel Holding to drop to ₣ 51.18 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vontobel Holding probability density function shows the probability of Vontobel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vontobel Holding price to stay between ₣ 51.18 and its current price of ₣58.1 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vontobel Holding has a beta of -0.043. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vontobel Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vontobel Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vontobel Holding has an alpha of 0.061, implying that it can generate a 0.061 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vontobel Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vontobel Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vontobel Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vontobel Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vontobel Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vontobel Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vontobel Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vontobel Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Vontobel Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vontobel Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vontobel Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vontobel Holding has accumulated about 15.39 B in cash with (3.2 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 274.21. | |
| Roughly 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Vontobel Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vontobel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vontobel Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vontobel Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 168.9 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 3 | |
| Shares Float | 40.4 M |
Vontobel Holding Technical Analysis
Vontobel Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vontobel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vontobel Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vontobel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vontobel Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Vontobel Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vontobel Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vontobel Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vontobel Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vontobel Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vontobel Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vontobel Holding has accumulated about 15.39 B in cash with (3.2 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 274.21. | |
| Roughly 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for Vontobel Stock Analysis
When running Vontobel Holding's price analysis, check to measure Vontobel Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vontobel Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Vontobel Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vontobel Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vontobel Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vontobel Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.