Van Phu (Vietnam) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 58500.0

VPI Stock   58,500  800.00  1.39%   
Van Phu's future price is the expected price of Van Phu instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Van Phu performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Van Phu Backtesting, Van Phu Valuation, Van Phu Correlation, Van Phu Hype Analysis, Van Phu Volatility, Van Phu History as well as Van Phu Performance.
  
Please specify Van Phu's target price for which you would like Van Phu odds to be computed.

Van Phu Target Price Odds to finish below 58500.0

The tendency of Van Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 58,500 90 days 58,500 
about 88.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Van Phu to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 88.24 (This Van Phu probability density function shows the probability of Van Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Van Phu has a beta of 0.019. This entails as returns on the market go up, Van Phu average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Van Phu will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Van Phu has an alpha of 0.0122, implying that it can generate a 0.0122 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Van Phu Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Van Phu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Van Phu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58,49958,50058,501
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50,56850,56964,350
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58,28658,28758,288
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
57,56258,52059,478
Details

Van Phu Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Van Phu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Van Phu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Van Phu , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Van Phu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
742.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Van Phu Technical Analysis

Van Phu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Van Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Van Phu . In general, you should focus on analyzing Van Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Van Phu Predictive Forecast Models

Van Phu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Van Phu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Van Phu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Van Phu in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Van Phu's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Van Phu options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Van Stock

Van Phu financial ratios help investors to determine whether Van Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Van with respect to the benefits of owning Van Phu security.