Vichitbhan Palmoil (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.71
| VPO Stock | THB 0.65 0.03 4.84% |
Vichitbhan |
Vichitbhan Palmoil Target Price Odds to finish below 0.71
The tendency of Vichitbhan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.71 after 90 days |
| 0.65 | 90 days | 0.71 | about 57.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vichitbhan Palmoil to stay under 0.71 after 90 days from now is about 57.81 (This Vichitbhan Palmoil Public probability density function shows the probability of Vichitbhan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public price to stay between its current price of 0.65 and 0.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vichitbhan Palmoil has a beta of 0.25. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vichitbhan Palmoil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vichitbhan Palmoil Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vichitbhan Palmoil Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vichitbhan Palmoil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vichitbhan Palmoil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vichitbhan Palmoil Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vichitbhan Palmoil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vichitbhan Palmoil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vichitbhan Palmoil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vichitbhan Palmoil Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vichitbhan Palmoil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Vichitbhan Palmoil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vichitbhan Palmoil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vichitbhan Palmoil Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vichitbhan Palmoil is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Vichitbhan Palmoil has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Vichitbhan Palmoil appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Vichitbhan Palmoil Public has accumulated 13.88 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vichitbhan Palmoil Public has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vichitbhan Palmoil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vichitbhan Palmoil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vichitbhan Palmoil Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vichitbhan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vichitbhan Palmoil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 69.0% of Vichitbhan Palmoil outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Vichitbhan Palmoil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vichitbhan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vichitbhan Palmoil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vichitbhan Palmoil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 940 M |
Vichitbhan Palmoil Technical Analysis
Vichitbhan Palmoil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vichitbhan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vichitbhan Palmoil Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vichitbhan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vichitbhan Palmoil Predictive Forecast Models
Vichitbhan Palmoil's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vichitbhan Palmoil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vichitbhan Palmoil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vichitbhan Palmoil Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vichitbhan Palmoil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vichitbhan Palmoil Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vichitbhan Palmoil is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Vichitbhan Palmoil has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Vichitbhan Palmoil appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Vichitbhan Palmoil Public has accumulated 13.88 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vichitbhan Palmoil Public has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vichitbhan Palmoil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vichitbhan Palmoil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vichitbhan Palmoil Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vichitbhan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vichitbhan Palmoil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 69.0% of Vichitbhan Palmoil outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Vichitbhan Stock
Vichitbhan Palmoil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vichitbhan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vichitbhan with respect to the benefits of owning Vichitbhan Palmoil security.