VR Factory (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.93
| VRF Stock | 0.32 0.01 3.23% |
VRF |
VR Factory Target Price Odds to finish over 0.93
The tendency of VRF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 0.93 or more in 90 days |
| 0.32 | 90 days | 0.93 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VR Factory to move over 0.93 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This VR Factory Games probability density function shows the probability of VRF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VR Factory Games price to stay between its current price of 0.32 and 0.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VR Factory has a beta of 0.79. This entails as returns on the market go up, VR Factory average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VR Factory Games will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VR Factory Games has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VR Factory Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VR Factory
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VR Factory Games. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VR Factory's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VR Factory Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VR Factory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VR Factory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VR Factory Games, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VR Factory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
VR Factory Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VR Factory for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VR Factory Games can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VR Factory Games generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VR Factory Games has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| VR Factory Games has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
VR Factory Technical Analysis
VR Factory's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VRF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VR Factory Games. In general, you should focus on analyzing VRF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VR Factory Predictive Forecast Models
VR Factory's time-series forecasting models is one of many VR Factory's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VR Factory's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VR Factory Games
Checking the ongoing alerts about VR Factory for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VR Factory Games help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VR Factory Games generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VR Factory Games has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| VR Factory Games has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Additional Tools for VRF Stock Analysis
When running VR Factory's price analysis, check to measure VR Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VR Factory is operating at the current time. Most of VR Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VR Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VR Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VR Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.