Jpmorgan Dynamic Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 28.11

VSCOX Fund  USD 28.82  0.43  1.51%   
Jpmorgan Dynamic's future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan Dynamic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan Dynamic Small performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jpmorgan Dynamic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Dynamic Correlation, Jpmorgan Dynamic Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Dynamic Volatility, Jpmorgan Dynamic History as well as Jpmorgan Dynamic Performance.
  
Please specify Jpmorgan Dynamic's target price for which you would like Jpmorgan Dynamic odds to be computed.

Jpmorgan Dynamic Target Price Odds to finish below 28.11

The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 28.11  or more in 90 days
 28.82 90 days 28.11 
about 92.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Dynamic to drop to $ 28.11  or more in 90 days from now is about 92.53 (This Jpmorgan Dynamic Small probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jpmorgan Dynamic Small price to stay between $ 28.11  and its current price of $28.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.4 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Jpmorgan Dynamic will likely underperform. Additionally Jpmorgan Dynamic Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jpmorgan Dynamic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Dynamic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Dynamic Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.6928.8530.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.2728.4329.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.8828.0429.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.2728.6829.08
Details

Jpmorgan Dynamic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Dynamic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Dynamic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Dynamic Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Dynamic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Jpmorgan Dynamic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Dynamic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Dynamic Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 96.98% of its net assets in stocks

Jpmorgan Dynamic Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan Dynamic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Dynamic Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan Dynamic Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan Dynamic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Dynamic's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jpmorgan Dynamic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan Dynamic Small

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Dynamic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Dynamic Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 96.98% of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Jpmorgan Mutual Fund

Jpmorgan Dynamic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jpmorgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jpmorgan with respect to the benefits of owning Jpmorgan Dynamic security.
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