Vantage Drilling International Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 13.03
| VTDRF Stock | USD 25.50 0.75 2.86% |
Vantage |
Vantage Drilling Target Price Odds to finish below 13.03
The tendency of Vantage Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.03 or more in 90 days |
| 25.50 | 90 days | 13.03 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vantage Drilling to drop to $ 13.03 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vantage Drilling International probability density function shows the probability of Vantage Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vantage Drilling Int price to stay between $ 13.03 and its current price of $25.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vantage Drilling International has a beta of -2.09. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Vantage Drilling International are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Vantage Drilling is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Vantage Drilling International has an alpha of 0.7828, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vantage Drilling Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vantage Drilling
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vantage Drilling Int. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vantage Drilling Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vantage Drilling is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vantage Drilling's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vantage Drilling International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vantage Drilling within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Vantage Drilling Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vantage Drilling for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vantage Drilling Int can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vantage Drilling Int is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Vantage Drilling Int appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Vantage Drilling Int has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 158.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (110.25 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (14.69 M). | |
| Vantage Drilling International has accumulated about 227.33 M in cash with (70.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.33. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Vantage Drilling Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vantage Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vantage Drilling's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vantage Drilling's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73.3 M |
Vantage Drilling Technical Analysis
Vantage Drilling's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vantage Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vantage Drilling International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vantage Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vantage Drilling Predictive Forecast Models
Vantage Drilling's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vantage Drilling's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vantage Drilling's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vantage Drilling Int
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vantage Drilling for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vantage Drilling Int help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vantage Drilling Int is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Vantage Drilling Int appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Vantage Drilling Int has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 158.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (110.25 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (14.69 M). | |
| Vantage Drilling International has accumulated about 227.33 M in cash with (70.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.33. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Vantage Pink Sheet
Vantage Drilling financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vantage Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vantage with respect to the benefits of owning Vantage Drilling security.