Vitru Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.5
| VTRUDelisted Stock | USD 16.50 0.70 4.43% |
Vitru |
Vitru Target Price Odds to finish below 16.5
The tendency of Vitru Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 16.50 | 90 days | 16.50 | about 85.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vitru to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 85.55 (This Vitru probability density function shows the probability of Vitru Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vitru has a beta of 0.16. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vitru average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vitru will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vitru has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vitru Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vitru
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vitru. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vitru Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vitru is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vitru's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vitru, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vitru within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0054 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Vitru Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vitru for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vitru can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vitru is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Vitru has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Vitru currently holds 2.51 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.34, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vitru has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Vitru's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 75.0% of Vitru outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Vitru Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vitru Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vitru's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vitru's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 241.6 M |
Vitru Technical Analysis
Vitru's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vitru Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vitru. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vitru Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vitru Predictive Forecast Models
Vitru's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vitru's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vitru's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vitru
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vitru for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vitru help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vitru is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Vitru has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Vitru currently holds 2.51 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.34, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vitru has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Vitru's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 75.0% of Vitru outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Other Consideration for investing in Vitru Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Vitru check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Vitru's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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