VIVENDI UNSPONARD (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.08
| VVUD Stock | EUR 8.15 0.10 1.21% |
VIVENDI |
VIVENDI UNSPONARD Target Price Odds to finish over 10.08
The tendency of VIVENDI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 10.08 or more in 90 days |
| 8.15 | 90 days | 10.08 | about 12.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VIVENDI UNSPONARD to move over € 10.08 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.11 (This VIVENDI UNSPONARD EO probability density function shows the probability of VIVENDI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VIVENDI UNSPONARD price to stay between its current price of € 8.15 and € 10.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VIVENDI UNSPONARD has a beta of 0.095. This entails as returns on the market go up, VIVENDI UNSPONARD average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VIVENDI UNSPONARD EO will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VIVENDI UNSPONARD EO has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VIVENDI UNSPONARD Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VIVENDI UNSPONARD
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VIVENDI UNSPONARD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VIVENDI UNSPONARD's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VIVENDI UNSPONARD Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VIVENDI UNSPONARD is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VIVENDI UNSPONARD's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VIVENDI UNSPONARD EO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VIVENDI UNSPONARD within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
VIVENDI UNSPONARD Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VIVENDI UNSPONARD for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VIVENDI UNSPONARD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VIVENDI UNSPONARD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VIVENDI UNSPONARD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
VIVENDI UNSPONARD Technical Analysis
VIVENDI UNSPONARD's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VIVENDI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VIVENDI UNSPONARD EO. In general, you should focus on analyzing VIVENDI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VIVENDI UNSPONARD Predictive Forecast Models
VIVENDI UNSPONARD's time-series forecasting models is one of many VIVENDI UNSPONARD's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VIVENDI UNSPONARD's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VIVENDI UNSPONARD
Checking the ongoing alerts about VIVENDI UNSPONARD for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VIVENDI UNSPONARD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VIVENDI UNSPONARD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VIVENDI UNSPONARD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Other Information on Investing in VIVENDI Stock
VIVENDI UNSPONARD financial ratios help investors to determine whether VIVENDI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VIVENDI with respect to the benefits of owning VIVENDI UNSPONARD security.