Vestas Wind (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.85
| VWSB Stock | 13.45 0.36 2.61% |
Vestas |
Vestas Wind Target Price Odds to finish below 23.85
The tendency of Vestas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 23.85 after 90 days |
| 13.45 | 90 days | 23.85 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vestas Wind to stay under 23.85 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Vestas Wind Systems probability density function shows the probability of Vestas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vestas Wind Systems price to stay between its current price of 13.45 and 23.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vestas Wind Systems has a beta of -0.64. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vestas Wind are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vestas Wind Systems is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vestas Wind Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vestas Wind Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vestas Wind
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vestas Wind Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vestas Wind Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vestas Wind is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vestas Wind's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vestas Wind Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vestas Wind within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Vestas Wind Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vestas Wind for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vestas Wind Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vestas Wind Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vestas Wind Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Vestas Wind Systems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 14.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.57 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 192 M. | |
| Vestas Wind generates negative cash flow from operations |
Vestas Wind Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vestas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vestas Wind's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vestas Wind's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 980 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 B |
Vestas Wind Technical Analysis
Vestas Wind's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vestas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vestas Wind Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vestas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vestas Wind Predictive Forecast Models
Vestas Wind's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vestas Wind's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vestas Wind's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vestas Wind Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vestas Wind for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vestas Wind Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vestas Wind Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vestas Wind Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Vestas Wind Systems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 14.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.57 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 192 M. | |
| Vestas Wind generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Vestas Stock
Vestas Wind financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vestas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vestas with respect to the benefits of owning Vestas Wind security.