Victory Energy Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 428.89
| VYEY Stock | USD 0.21 0.09 30.00% |
Victory |
Victory Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 428.89
The tendency of Victory Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 428.89 or more in 90 days |
| 0.21 | 90 days | 428.89 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Victory Energy to move over $ 428.89 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Victory Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Victory Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Victory Energy Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.21 and $ 428.89 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 39.58 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Victory Energy will likely underperform. In addition to that Victory Energy Corp has an alpha of 16.4684, implying that it can generate a 16.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Victory Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Victory Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Victory Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Victory Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Victory Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Victory Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Victory Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 16.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 39.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Victory Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Victory Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Victory Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Victory Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Victory Energy Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Victory Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Victory Energy Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Victory Energy Corp currently holds 239.85 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.25, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Victory Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Victory Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Victory Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Victory Energy Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Victory to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Victory Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 851.39 K. Net Loss for the year was (953.86 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 323.58 K. | |
| Victory Energy Corp currently holds about 30.07 K in cash with (508.16 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 97.0% of Victory Energy outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Victory Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Victory Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Victory Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Victory Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 192.3 K |
Victory Energy Technical Analysis
Victory Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Victory Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Victory Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Victory Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Victory Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Victory Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Victory Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Victory Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Victory Energy Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Victory Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Victory Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Victory Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Victory Energy Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Victory Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Victory Energy Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Victory Energy Corp currently holds 239.85 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.25, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Victory Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Victory Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Victory Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Victory Energy Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Victory to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Victory Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 851.39 K. Net Loss for the year was (953.86 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 323.58 K. | |
| Victory Energy Corp currently holds about 30.07 K in cash with (508.16 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 97.0% of Victory Energy outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for Victory Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Victory Energy's price analysis, check to measure Victory Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Victory Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Victory Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Victory Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Victory Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Victory Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.