VZ Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 136.2
| VZN Stock | CHF 145.00 0.60 0.42% |
VZN |
VZ Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 136.2
The tendency of VZN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 136.20 or more in 90 days |
| 145.00 | 90 days | 136.20 | about 37.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VZ Holding to drop to ₣ 136.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.54 (This VZ Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of VZN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VZ Holding AG price to stay between ₣ 136.20 and its current price of ₣145.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VZ Holding has a beta of 0.45. This entails as returns on the market go up, VZ Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VZ Holding AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VZ Holding AG has an alpha of 0.1695, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VZ Holding Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for VZ Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VZ Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VZ Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VZ Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VZ Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VZ Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VZ Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
VZ Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VZ Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VZ Holding AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VZ Holding AG has accumulated 410.45 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 44.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. VZ Holding AG has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist VZ Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, VZ Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like VZ Holding AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for VZN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about VZ Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 64.0% of VZ Holding outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
VZ Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VZN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VZ Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VZ Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
VZ Holding Technical Analysis
VZ Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VZN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VZ Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing VZN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VZ Holding Predictive Forecast Models
VZ Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many VZ Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VZ Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VZ Holding AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about VZ Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VZ Holding AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VZ Holding AG has accumulated 410.45 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 44.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. VZ Holding AG has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist VZ Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, VZ Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like VZ Holding AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for VZN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about VZ Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 64.0% of VZ Holding outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for VZN Stock Analysis
When running VZ Holding's price analysis, check to measure VZ Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VZ Holding is operating at the current time. Most of VZ Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VZ Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VZ Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VZ Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.