W5 Solutions (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.62

W5 Stock   43.80  1.15  2.56%   
W5 Solutions' future price is the expected price of W5 Solutions instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of W5 Solutions AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out W5 Solutions Backtesting, W5 Solutions Valuation, W5 Solutions Correlation, W5 Solutions Hype Analysis, W5 Solutions Volatility, W5 Solutions History as well as W5 Solutions Performance.
  
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W5 Solutions Target Price Odds to finish below 38.62

The tendency of W5 Solutions Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  38.62  or more in 90 days
 43.80 90 days 38.62 
about 18.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of W5 Solutions to drop to  38.62  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.53 (This W5 Solutions AB probability density function shows the probability of W5 Solutions Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of W5 Solutions AB price to stay between  38.62  and its current price of 43.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.3 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon W5 Solutions AB has a beta of -0.79. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding W5 Solutions are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, W5 Solutions AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally W5 Solutions AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   W5 Solutions Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for W5 Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as W5 Solutions AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of W5 Solutions' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.3743.8047.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.0735.5048.18
Details

W5 Solutions Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. W5 Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the W5 Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold W5 Solutions AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of W5 Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.79
σ
Overall volatility
5.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

W5 Solutions Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of W5 Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for W5 Solutions AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
W5 Solutions AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
W5 Solutions AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

W5 Solutions Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of W5 Solutions Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential W5 Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. W5 Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments53.4 M

W5 Solutions Technical Analysis

W5 Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. W5 Solutions Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of W5 Solutions AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing W5 Solutions Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

W5 Solutions Predictive Forecast Models

W5 Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many W5 Solutions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary W5 Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about W5 Solutions AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about W5 Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for W5 Solutions AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
W5 Solutions AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
W5 Solutions AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Additional Tools for W5 Solutions Stock Analysis

When running W5 Solutions' price analysis, check to measure W5 Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy W5 Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of W5 Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of W5 Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move W5 Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of W5 Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.