Warpaint London (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 509.22

W7L Stock   358.00  32.00  8.21%   
Warpaint London's future price is the expected price of Warpaint London instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Warpaint London PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Warpaint London Backtesting, Warpaint London Valuation, Warpaint London Correlation, Warpaint London Hype Analysis, Warpaint London Volatility, Warpaint London History as well as Warpaint London Performance.
  
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Warpaint London Target Price Odds to finish over 509.22

The tendency of Warpaint Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  509.22  or more in 90 days
 358.00 90 days 509.22 
about 41.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Warpaint London to move over  509.22  or more in 90 days from now is about 41.84 (This Warpaint London PLC probability density function shows the probability of Warpaint Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Warpaint London PLC price to stay between its current price of  358.00  and  509.22  at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This entails Warpaint London PLC market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Warpaint London is expected to follow. Additionally Warpaint London PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Warpaint London Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Warpaint London

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Warpaint London PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
329.41332.76429.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
345.62348.97429.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
407.38410.72414.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.060.060.06
Details

Warpaint London Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Warpaint London is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Warpaint London's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Warpaint London PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Warpaint London within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.06
σ
Overall volatility
51.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Warpaint London Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Warpaint London for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Warpaint London PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Warpaint London PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Warpaint London PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Warpaint London PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Warpaint Londons House Stock Rating Reiterated at Shore Capital - MarketBeat

Warpaint London Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Warpaint Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Warpaint London's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Warpaint London's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.1 M

Warpaint London Technical Analysis

Warpaint London's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Warpaint Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Warpaint London PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Warpaint Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Warpaint London Predictive Forecast Models

Warpaint London's time-series forecasting models is one of many Warpaint London's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Warpaint London's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Warpaint London PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Warpaint London for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Warpaint London PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Warpaint London PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Warpaint London PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Warpaint London PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Warpaint Londons House Stock Rating Reiterated at Shore Capital - MarketBeat

Other Information on Investing in Warpaint Stock

Warpaint London financial ratios help investors to determine whether Warpaint Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Warpaint with respect to the benefits of owning Warpaint London security.