Bank of China Limited (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.45

W8V Stock  EUR 0.45  0.01  2.27%   
Bank of China Limited's future price is the expected price of Bank of China Limited instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bank of China performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bank of China Limited Backtesting, Bank of China Limited Valuation, Bank of China Limited Correlation, Bank of China Limited Hype Analysis, Bank of China Limited Volatility, Bank of China Limited History as well as Bank of China Limited Performance.
  
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Bank of China Limited Target Price Odds to finish over 0.45

The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.45 90 days 0.45 
about 19.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank of China Limited to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.23 (This Bank of China probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bank of China Limited has a beta of 0.15. This entails as returns on the market go up, Bank of China Limited average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank of China will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bank of China has an alpha of 0.1377, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bank of China Limited Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bank of China Limited

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of China Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.452.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.432.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.452.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.430.450.46
Details

Bank of China Limited Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank of China Limited is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank of China Limited's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank of China, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank of China Limited within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Bank of China Limited Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank of China Limited for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank of China Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank of China Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bank of China has accumulated about 523.66 B in cash with (383.54 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.54, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Bank of China Limited Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank of China Limited's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of China Limited's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding294.4 B
Dividends Paid70.2 B

Bank of China Limited Technical Analysis

Bank of China Limited's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank of China. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bank of China Limited Predictive Forecast Models

Bank of China Limited's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank of China Limited's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank of China Limited's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bank of China Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank of China Limited for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank of China Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank of China Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bank of China has accumulated about 523.66 B in cash with (383.54 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.54, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock

Bank of China Limited financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank of China Limited security.