Waldencast Acquisition Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.55
| WALD Stock | USD 3.29 0.01 0.30% |
Waldencast |
Waldencast Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish over 3.55
The tendency of Waldencast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 3.55 or more in 90 days |
| 3.29 | 90 days | 3.55 | about 51.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Waldencast Acquisition to move over $ 3.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 51.17 (This Waldencast Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of Waldencast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Waldencast Acquisition price to stay between its current price of $ 3.29 and $ 3.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.47 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.31 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Waldencast Acquisition will likely underperform. Additionally Waldencast Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 0.0105, implying that it can generate a 0.0105 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Waldencast Acquisition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Waldencast Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Waldencast Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Waldencast Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Waldencast Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Waldencast Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Waldencast Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Waldencast Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Waldencast Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Waldencast Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Waldencast Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Waldencast Acquisition had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Waldencast Acquisition has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Waldencast Acquisition Corp currently holds 177.72 M in liabilities. Waldencast Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Waldencast Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 218.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (89.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Waldencast Acquisition Corp currently holds about 99.73 K in cash with (29.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Waldencast Acquisition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Waldencast plc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Waldencast Acquisition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Waldencast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Waldencast Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Waldencast Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.6 M |
Waldencast Acquisition Technical Analysis
Waldencast Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Waldencast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Waldencast Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Waldencast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Waldencast Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
Waldencast Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Waldencast Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Waldencast Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Waldencast Acquisition
Checking the ongoing alerts about Waldencast Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Waldencast Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Waldencast Acquisition had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Waldencast Acquisition has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Waldencast Acquisition Corp currently holds 177.72 M in liabilities. Waldencast Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Waldencast Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 218.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (89.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Waldencast Acquisition Corp currently holds about 99.73 K in cash with (29.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Waldencast Acquisition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Waldencast plc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Check out Waldencast Acquisition Backtesting, Waldencast Acquisition Valuation, Waldencast Acquisition Correlation, Waldencast Acquisition Hype Analysis, Waldencast Acquisition Volatility, Waldencast Acquisition History as well as Waldencast Acquisition Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Waldencast Acquisition. If investors know Waldencast will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Waldencast Acquisition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.74) | Revenue Per Share 2.176 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.203 | Return On Assets (0.04) | Return On Equity (0.11) |
The market value of Waldencast Acquisition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Waldencast that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Waldencast Acquisition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Waldencast Acquisition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Waldencast Acquisition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Waldencast Acquisition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Waldencast Acquisition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Waldencast Acquisition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Waldencast Acquisition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.