Wam Capital (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.32

WAM Stock   1.53  0.01  0.65%   
Wam Capital's future price is the expected price of Wam Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wam Capital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wam Capital Backtesting, Wam Capital Valuation, Wam Capital Correlation, Wam Capital Hype Analysis, Wam Capital Volatility, Wam Capital History as well as Wam Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Wam Capital's target price for which you would like Wam Capital odds to be computed.

Wam Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 3.32

The tendency of Wam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  3.32  or more in 90 days
 1.53 90 days 3.32 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wam Capital to move over  3.32  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Wam Capital probability density function shows the probability of Wam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wam Capital price to stay between its current price of  1.53  and  3.32  at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wam Capital has a beta of 0.0816. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wam Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wam Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wam Capital has an alpha of 0.0025, implying that it can generate a 0.002497 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wam Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wam Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wam Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.931.532.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.931.532.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.931.542.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.481.521.55
Details

Wam Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wam Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wam Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wam Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wam Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Wam Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wam Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wam Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wam Capital may become a speculative penny stock
Wam Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: WAM Capital Alters Stake in SG Fleet - MSN

Wam Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wam Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wam Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments211.8 M

Wam Capital Technical Analysis

Wam Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wam Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wam Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Wam Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wam Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wam Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wam Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wam Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wam Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wam Capital may become a speculative penny stock
Wam Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: WAM Capital Alters Stake in SG Fleet - MSN

Additional Tools for Wam Stock Analysis

When running Wam Capital's price analysis, check to measure Wam Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wam Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Wam Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wam Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wam Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wam Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.