Wahana Pronatural (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 87.68
| WAPO Stock | IDR 94.00 1.00 1.05% |
Wahana |
Wahana Pronatural Target Price Odds to finish below 87.68
The tendency of Wahana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 87.68 or more in 90 days |
| 94.00 | 90 days | 87.68 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wahana Pronatural to drop to 87.68 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Wahana Pronatural probability density function shows the probability of Wahana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wahana Pronatural price to stay between 87.68 and its current price of 94.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wahana Pronatural has a beta of -1.36. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Wahana Pronatural are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Wahana Pronatural is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Wahana Pronatural has an alpha of 0.0154, implying that it can generate a 0.0154 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Wahana Pronatural Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wahana Pronatural
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wahana Pronatural. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wahana Pronatural Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wahana Pronatural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wahana Pronatural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wahana Pronatural, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wahana Pronatural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Wahana Pronatural Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wahana Pronatural for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wahana Pronatural can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wahana Pronatural generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 317.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.6 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.39 B. | |
| Wahana Pronatural has accumulated about 4.72 B in cash with (1.11 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Wahana Pronatural Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wahana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wahana Pronatural's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wahana Pronatural's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.7 B |
Wahana Pronatural Technical Analysis
Wahana Pronatural's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wahana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wahana Pronatural. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wahana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wahana Pronatural Predictive Forecast Models
Wahana Pronatural's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wahana Pronatural's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wahana Pronatural's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wahana Pronatural
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wahana Pronatural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wahana Pronatural help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wahana Pronatural generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 317.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.6 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.39 B. | |
| Wahana Pronatural has accumulated about 4.72 B in cash with (1.11 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Wahana Stock
Wahana Pronatural financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wahana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wahana with respect to the benefits of owning Wahana Pronatural security.