Warrix Sport (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.07

WARRIX Stock   4.06  0.02  0.50%   
Warrix Sport's future price is the expected price of Warrix Sport instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Warrix Sport PCL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Warrix Sport Backtesting, Warrix Sport Valuation, Warrix Sport Correlation, Warrix Sport Hype Analysis, Warrix Sport Volatility, Warrix Sport History as well as Warrix Sport Performance.
  
Please specify Warrix Sport's target price for which you would like Warrix Sport odds to be computed.

Warrix Sport Target Price Odds to finish below 4.07

The tendency of Warrix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  4.07  after 90 days
 4.06 90 days 4.07 
about 89.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Warrix Sport to stay under  4.07  after 90 days from now is about 89.16 (This Warrix Sport PCL probability density function shows the probability of Warrix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Warrix Sport PCL price to stay between its current price of  4.06  and  4.07  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Warrix Sport has a beta of 0.13. This entails as returns on the market go up, Warrix Sport average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Warrix Sport PCL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Warrix Sport PCL has an alpha of 0.2894, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Warrix Sport Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Warrix Sport

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Warrix Sport PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.484.066.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.983.566.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.333.916.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.273.754.23
Details

Warrix Sport Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Warrix Sport is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Warrix Sport's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Warrix Sport PCL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Warrix Sport within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Warrix Sport Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Warrix Sport for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Warrix Sport PCL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Warrix Sport Technical Analysis

Warrix Sport's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Warrix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Warrix Sport PCL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Warrix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Warrix Sport Predictive Forecast Models

Warrix Sport's time-series forecasting models is one of many Warrix Sport's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Warrix Sport's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Warrix Sport PCL

Checking the ongoing alerts about Warrix Sport for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Warrix Sport PCL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Warrix Stock

Warrix Sport financial ratios help investors to determine whether Warrix Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Warrix with respect to the benefits of owning Warrix Sport security.