Wasatch Strategic Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.6

WASIX Fund  USD 11.57  0.04  0.34%   
Wasatch Strategic's future price is the expected price of Wasatch Strategic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wasatch Strategic Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wasatch Strategic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wasatch Strategic Correlation, Wasatch Strategic Hype Analysis, Wasatch Strategic Volatility, Wasatch Strategic History as well as Wasatch Strategic Performance.
  
Please specify Wasatch Strategic's target price for which you would like Wasatch Strategic odds to be computed.

Wasatch Strategic Target Price Odds to finish below 11.6

The tendency of Wasatch Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 11.60  after 90 days
 11.57 90 days 11.60 
about 53.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wasatch Strategic to stay under $ 11.60  after 90 days from now is about 53.97 (This Wasatch Strategic Income probability density function shows the probability of Wasatch Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wasatch Strategic Income price to stay between its current price of $ 11.57  and $ 11.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wasatch Strategic has a beta of 0.17. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wasatch Strategic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wasatch Strategic Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wasatch Strategic Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wasatch Strategic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wasatch Strategic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wasatch Strategic Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0211.5712.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0211.5712.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.9611.5212.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2311.4811.73
Details

Wasatch Strategic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wasatch Strategic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wasatch Strategic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wasatch Strategic Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wasatch Strategic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0014
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Wasatch Strategic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wasatch Strategic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wasatch Strategic Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wasatch Strategic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
Wasatch Strategic Income keeps about 6.47% of its net assets in cash

Wasatch Strategic Technical Analysis

Wasatch Strategic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wasatch Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wasatch Strategic Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wasatch Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wasatch Strategic Predictive Forecast Models

Wasatch Strategic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wasatch Strategic's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wasatch Strategic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wasatch Strategic Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wasatch Strategic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wasatch Strategic Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wasatch Strategic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
Wasatch Strategic Income keeps about 6.47% of its net assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Wasatch Mutual Fund

Wasatch Strategic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wasatch Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wasatch with respect to the benefits of owning Wasatch Strategic security.
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