Investment Managers Series Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.36

WCFEX Fund   15.01  0.12  0.79%   
Investment Managers' future price is the expected price of Investment Managers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Investment Managers Series performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Investment Managers Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Investment Managers Correlation, Investment Managers Hype Analysis, Investment Managers Volatility, Investment Managers History as well as Investment Managers Performance.
  
Please specify Investment Managers' target price for which you would like Investment Managers odds to be computed.

Investment Managers Target Price Odds to finish below 14.36

The tendency of Investment Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  14.36  or more in 90 days
 15.01 90 days 14.36 
about 17.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Investment Managers to drop to  14.36  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.68 (This Investment Managers Series probability density function shows the probability of Investment Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Investment Managers price to stay between  14.36  and its current price of 15.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Investment Managers has a beta of 0.5. This entails as returns on the market go up, Investment Managers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Investment Managers Series will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Investment Managers Series has an alpha of 0.0075, implying that it can generate a 0.007463 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Investment Managers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Investment Managers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investment Managers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Investment Managers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2515.0115.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1214.8815.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.4015.1615.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.8215.0415.26
Details

Investment Managers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Investment Managers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Investment Managers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Investment Managers Series, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Investment Managers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Investment Managers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Investment Managers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Investment Managers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments

Investment Managers Technical Analysis

Investment Managers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Investment Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Investment Managers Series. In general, you should focus on analyzing Investment Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Investment Managers Predictive Forecast Models

Investment Managers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Investment Managers' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Investment Managers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Investment Managers

Checking the ongoing alerts about Investment Managers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Investment Managers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Investment Mutual Fund

Investment Managers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Investment Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Investment with respect to the benefits of owning Investment Managers security.
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