Wcm Focused International Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 19.74
| WCMIX Fund | USD 23.11 0.18 0.78% |
Wcm |
Wcm Focused Target Price Odds to finish below 19.74
The tendency of Wcm Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.74 or more in 90 days |
| 23.11 | 90 days | 19.74 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wcm Focused to drop to $ 19.74 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Wcm Focused International probability density function shows the probability of Wcm Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wcm Focused International price to stay between $ 19.74 and its current price of $23.11 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wcm Focused has a beta of 0.82. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wcm Focused average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wcm Focused International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wcm Focused International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wcm Focused Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wcm Focused
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wcm Focused International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wcm Focused Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wcm Focused is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wcm Focused's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wcm Focused International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wcm Focused within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Wcm Focused Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wcm Focused for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wcm Focused International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wcm Focused generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund keeps 98.11% of its net assets in stocks |
Wcm Focused Technical Analysis
Wcm Focused's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wcm Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wcm Focused International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wcm Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wcm Focused Predictive Forecast Models
Wcm Focused's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wcm Focused's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wcm Focused's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wcm Focused International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wcm Focused for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wcm Focused International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wcm Focused generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund keeps 98.11% of its net assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Wcm Mutual Fund
Wcm Focused financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wcm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wcm with respect to the benefits of owning Wcm Focused security.
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
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| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios |