Wcm Small Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.09

WCMNX Fund  USD 13.74  0.18  1.33%   
Wcm Small's future price is the expected price of Wcm Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wcm Small Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wcm Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wcm Small Correlation, Wcm Small Hype Analysis, Wcm Small Volatility, Wcm Small History as well as Wcm Small Performance.
  
Please specify Wcm Small's target price for which you would like Wcm Small odds to be computed.

Wcm Small Target Price Odds to finish over 15.09

The tendency of Wcm Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 15.09  or more in 90 days
 13.74 90 days 15.09 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wcm Small to move over $ 15.09  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Wcm Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Wcm Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wcm Small Cap price to stay between its current price of $ 13.74  and $ 15.09  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.47 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Wcm Small will likely underperform. Additionally Wcm Small Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wcm Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wcm Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wcm Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5913.8415.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3813.6314.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.0613.3114.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5113.6813.85
Details

Wcm Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wcm Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wcm Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wcm Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wcm Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.0046

Wcm Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wcm Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wcm Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Wcm Small Cap keeps 96.05% of its net assets in stocks

Wcm Small Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wcm Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wcm Small's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wcm Small's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Wcm Small Technical Analysis

Wcm Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wcm Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wcm Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wcm Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wcm Small Predictive Forecast Models

Wcm Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wcm Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wcm Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wcm Small Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wcm Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wcm Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Wcm Small Cap keeps 96.05% of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Wcm Mutual Fund

Wcm Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wcm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wcm with respect to the benefits of owning Wcm Small security.
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings