Wilmington Diversified Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.76

WDIIX Fund  USD 13.98  0.11  0.78%   
Wilmington Diversified's future price is the expected price of Wilmington Diversified instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wilmington Diversified Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wilmington Diversified Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wilmington Diversified Correlation, Wilmington Diversified Hype Analysis, Wilmington Diversified Volatility, Wilmington Diversified History as well as Wilmington Diversified Performance.
  
Please specify Wilmington Diversified's target price for which you would like Wilmington Diversified odds to be computed.

Wilmington Diversified Target Price Odds to finish below 13.76

The tendency of Wilmington Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 13.76  or more in 90 days
 13.98 90 days 13.76 
about 51.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilmington Diversified to drop to $ 13.76  or more in 90 days from now is about 51.1 (This Wilmington Diversified Income probability density function shows the probability of Wilmington Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wilmington Diversified price to stay between $ 13.76  and its current price of $13.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wilmington Diversified Income has a beta of -0.0466. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wilmington Diversified are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wilmington Diversified Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wilmington Diversified Income has an alpha of 0.0678, implying that it can generate a 0.0678 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wilmington Diversified Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wilmington Diversified

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmington Diversified. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.3013.9814.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0813.7614.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.2413.9214.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.7613.9214.08
Details

Wilmington Diversified Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilmington Diversified is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilmington Diversified's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilmington Diversified Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilmington Diversified within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Wilmington Diversified Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilmington Diversified for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilmington Diversified can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 32.45% of its net assets in bonds

Wilmington Diversified Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wilmington Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wilmington Diversified's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wilmington Diversified's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Wilmington Diversified Technical Analysis

Wilmington Diversified's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilmington Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilmington Diversified Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilmington Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wilmington Diversified Predictive Forecast Models

Wilmington Diversified's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilmington Diversified's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilmington Diversified's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wilmington Diversified

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilmington Diversified for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilmington Diversified help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 32.45% of its net assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Wilmington Mutual Fund

Wilmington Diversified financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilmington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilmington with respect to the benefits of owning Wilmington Diversified security.
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