Woodside Energy (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1262.28

WDS Stock   1,260  8.00  0.64%   
Woodside Energy's future price is the expected price of Woodside Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Woodside Energy Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Woodside Energy Backtesting, Woodside Energy Valuation, Woodside Energy Correlation, Woodside Energy Hype Analysis, Woodside Energy Volatility, Woodside Energy History as well as Woodside Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Woodside Energy's target price for which you would like Woodside Energy odds to be computed.

Woodside Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 1262.28

The tendency of Woodside Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  1,262  after 90 days
 1,260 90 days 1,262 
about 48.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Woodside Energy to stay under  1,262  after 90 days from now is about 48.15 (This Woodside Energy Group probability density function shows the probability of Woodside Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Woodside Energy Group price to stay between its current price of  1,260  and  1,262  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Woodside Energy Group has a beta of -0.27. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Woodside Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Woodside Energy Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Woodside Energy Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Woodside Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Woodside Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Woodside Energy Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1341,2621,264
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0671,0691,386
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,2931,2951,297
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,1771,2221,267
Details

Woodside Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Woodside Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Woodside Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Woodside Energy Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Woodside Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0004
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
49.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Woodside Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Woodside Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Woodside Energy Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Woodside Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Woodside Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 3rd of October 2024 Woodside Energy paid 0.69 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Woodside Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Woodside Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Woodside Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Woodside Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Woodside Energy Technical Analysis

Woodside Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Woodside Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Woodside Energy Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Woodside Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Woodside Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Woodside Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Woodside Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Woodside Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Woodside Energy Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Woodside Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Woodside Energy Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Woodside Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Woodside Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 3rd of October 2024 Woodside Energy paid 0.69 per share dividend to its current shareholders
When determining whether Woodside Energy Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Woodside Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Woodside Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Woodside Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Woodside Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Woodside Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Woodside Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.