Teton Westwood Balanced Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.50
| WEBAX Fund | USD 11.11 0.10 0.91% |
Teton |
Teton Westwood Target Price Odds to finish below 10.50
The tendency of Teton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.50 or more in 90 days |
| 11.11 | 90 days | 10.50 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Teton Westwood to drop to $ 10.50 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Teton Westwood Balanced probability density function shows the probability of Teton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Teton Westwood Balanced price to stay between $ 10.50 and its current price of $11.11 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Teton Westwood has a beta of 0.56. This entails as returns on the market go up, Teton Westwood average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Teton Westwood Balanced will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Teton Westwood Balanced has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Teton Westwood Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Teton Westwood
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teton Westwood Balanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Teton Westwood Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Teton Westwood is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Teton Westwood's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Teton Westwood Balanced, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Teton Westwood within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Teton Westwood Technical Analysis
Teton Westwood's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Teton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Teton Westwood Balanced. In general, you should focus on analyzing Teton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Teton Westwood Predictive Forecast Models
Teton Westwood's time-series forecasting models is one of many Teton Westwood's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Teton Westwood's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Teton Westwood in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Teton Westwood's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Teton Westwood options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Teton Mutual Fund
Teton Westwood financial ratios help investors to determine whether Teton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Teton with respect to the benefits of owning Teton Westwood security.
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