Western Energy Services Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.93

WEEEF Stock  USD 1.93  0.04  2.12%   
Western Energy's future price is the expected price of Western Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Western Energy Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Western Energy Backtesting, Western Energy Valuation, Western Energy Correlation, Western Energy Hype Analysis, Western Energy Volatility, Western Energy History as well as Western Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Western Energy's target price for which you would like Western Energy odds to be computed.

Western Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 1.93

The tendency of Western Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1.93 90 days 1.93 
about 8.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Western Energy to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 8.04 (This Western Energy Services probability density function shows the probability of Western Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Western Energy has a beta of 0.71. This entails as returns on the market go up, Western Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Western Energy Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Western Energy Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Western Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Western Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Western Energy Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Western Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.371.933.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.411.973.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.371.933.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.881.921.95
Details

Western Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Western Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Western Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Western Energy Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Western Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Western Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Western Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Western Energy Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Western Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Western Energy may become a speculative penny stock
Western Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 131.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 33.73 M.
About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Western Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Western Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Western Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Western Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding91.7 M

Western Energy Technical Analysis

Western Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Western Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Western Energy Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Western Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Western Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Western Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Western Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Western Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Western Energy Services

Checking the ongoing alerts about Western Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Western Energy Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Western Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Western Energy may become a speculative penny stock
Western Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 131.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 33.73 M.
About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Western Pink Sheet

Western Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Western Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Western with respect to the benefits of owning Western Energy security.