John Wood (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.38
| WG Stock | 52.90 0.95 1.76% |
John |
John Wood Target Price Odds to finish below 53.38
The tendency of John Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 53.38 after 90 days |
| 52.90 | 90 days | 53.38 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of John Wood to stay under 53.38 after 90 days from now is under 4 (This John Wood Group probability density function shows the probability of John Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of John Wood Group price to stay between its current price of 52.90 and 53.38 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon John Wood Group has a beta of -5.17. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding John Wood Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, John Wood is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally John Wood Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. John Wood Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for John Wood
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as John Wood Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.John Wood Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. John Wood is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the John Wood's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold John Wood Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of John Wood within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -5.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 31.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
John Wood Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of John Wood for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for John Wood Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| John Wood Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| John Wood Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (110.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 657.4 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: John Wood Group Stock Price Passes Below Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Time to Sell - MarketBeat |
John Wood Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of John Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential John Wood's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. John Wood's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 685.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 434 M |
John Wood Technical Analysis
John Wood's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. John Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of John Wood Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing John Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
John Wood Predictive Forecast Models
John Wood's time-series forecasting models is one of many John Wood's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary John Wood's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about John Wood Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about John Wood for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for John Wood Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| John Wood Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| John Wood Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (110.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 657.4 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: John Wood Group Stock Price Passes Below Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Time to Sell - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in John Stock
John Wood financial ratios help investors to determine whether John Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in John with respect to the benefits of owning John Wood security.