Genedx Holdings Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.42

WGS Stock   71.94  0.92  1.26%   
GeneDx Holdings' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on GeneDx Holdings Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of GeneDx Holdings based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in GeneDx Holdings Corp over a specific time period. For example, WGS Option Call 20-12-2024 70 is a CALL option contract on GeneDx Holdings' common stock with a strick price of 70.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-09 at 10:37:52 for $6.0 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All GeneDx options

Closest to current price GeneDx long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

GeneDx Holdings' future price is the expected price of GeneDx Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GeneDx Holdings Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GeneDx Holdings Backtesting, GeneDx Holdings Valuation, GeneDx Holdings Correlation, GeneDx Holdings Hype Analysis, GeneDx Holdings Volatility, GeneDx Holdings History as well as GeneDx Holdings Performance.
  
At this time, GeneDx Holdings' Price Book Value Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 0.01 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (0.40) in 2024. Please specify GeneDx Holdings' target price for which you would like GeneDx Holdings odds to be computed.

GeneDx Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 3.42

The tendency of GeneDx Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  3.42  or more in 90 days
 71.94 90 days 3.42 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GeneDx Holdings to drop to  3.42  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GeneDx Holdings Corp probability density function shows the probability of GeneDx Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GeneDx Holdings Corp price to stay between  3.42  and its current price of 71.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.52 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon GeneDx Holdings has a beta of 0.9. This entails GeneDx Holdings Corp market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, GeneDx Holdings is expected to follow. Moreover GeneDx Holdings Corp has an alpha of 1.2605, implying that it can generate a 1.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GeneDx Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GeneDx Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GeneDx Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.0574.4281.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.3046.6779.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
65.5072.8780.25
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.999.8810.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GeneDx Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GeneDx Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GeneDx Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GeneDx Holdings Corp.

GeneDx Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GeneDx Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GeneDx Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GeneDx Holdings Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GeneDx Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.90
σ
Overall volatility
16.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

GeneDx Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GeneDx Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GeneDx Holdings Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GeneDx Holdings Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GeneDx Holdings Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 202.57 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (175.77 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (26.75 M).
GeneDx Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations
GeneDx Holdings Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: GeneDx Holdings Corp. Is Breakeven Near

GeneDx Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GeneDx Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GeneDx Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GeneDx Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments130.1 M

GeneDx Holdings Technical Analysis

GeneDx Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GeneDx Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GeneDx Holdings Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing GeneDx Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GeneDx Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

GeneDx Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many GeneDx Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GeneDx Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GeneDx Holdings Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about GeneDx Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GeneDx Holdings Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GeneDx Holdings Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GeneDx Holdings Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 202.57 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (175.77 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (26.75 M).
GeneDx Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations
GeneDx Holdings Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: GeneDx Holdings Corp. Is Breakeven Near

Additional Tools for GeneDx Stock Analysis

When running GeneDx Holdings' price analysis, check to measure GeneDx Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GeneDx Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of GeneDx Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GeneDx Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GeneDx Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GeneDx Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.