Wira Global (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 90.0

WGSH Stock   92.00  1.00  1.10%   
Wira Global's future price is the expected price of Wira Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wira Global Solusi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wira Global Backtesting, Wira Global Valuation, Wira Global Correlation, Wira Global Hype Analysis, Wira Global Volatility, Wira Global History as well as Wira Global Performance.
  
Please specify Wira Global's target price for which you would like Wira Global odds to be computed.

Wira Global Target Price Odds to finish below 90.0

The tendency of Wira Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  90.00  or more in 90 days
 92.00 90 days 90.00 
about 39.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wira Global to drop to  90.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 39.04 (This Wira Global Solusi probability density function shows the probability of Wira Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wira Global Solusi price to stay between  90.00  and its current price of 92.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wira Global has a beta of 0.39. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wira Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wira Global Solusi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wira Global Solusi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wira Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wira Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wira Global Solusi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.3392.0093.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.4587.12101.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.4093.0794.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
81.8589.5897.32
Details

Wira Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wira Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wira Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wira Global Solusi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wira Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
3.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Wira Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wira Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wira Global Solusi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Wira Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wira Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wira Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wira Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments38.6 B

Wira Global Technical Analysis

Wira Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wira Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wira Global Solusi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wira Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wira Global Predictive Forecast Models

Wira Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wira Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wira Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wira Global Solusi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wira Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wira Global Solusi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Wira Stock

Wira Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wira Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wira with respect to the benefits of owning Wira Global security.