Wyndham Hotels Resorts Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 92.08
| WH Stock | USD 103.20 0.81 0.78% |
Wyndham |
Wyndham Hotels Target Price Odds to finish below 92.08
The tendency of Wyndham Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 92.08 or more in 90 days |
| 103.20 | 90 days | 92.08 | about 66.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wyndham Hotels to drop to $ 92.08 or more in 90 days from now is about 66.37 (This Wyndham Hotels Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Wyndham Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wyndham Hotels Resorts price to stay between $ 92.08 and its current price of $103.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.82 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.16 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Wyndham Hotels will likely underperform. Additionally Wyndham Hotels Resorts has an alpha of 0.3466, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Wyndham Hotels Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Wyndham Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wyndham Hotels Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wyndham Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wyndham Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wyndham Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wyndham Hotels Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wyndham Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Wyndham Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wyndham Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wyndham Hotels Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wyndham Hotels has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: PLAYA HOTELS RESORTS NOW TAKING BOOKINGS FOR NEWLY TRANSFORMED WYNDHAM ALLTRA PUNTA CANA |
Wyndham Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wyndham Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wyndham Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wyndham Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 84.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66 M |
Wyndham Hotels Technical Analysis
Wyndham Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wyndham Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wyndham Hotels Resorts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wyndham Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wyndham Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Wyndham Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Wyndham Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wyndham Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wyndham Hotels Resorts
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wyndham Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wyndham Hotels Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wyndham Hotels has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: PLAYA HOTELS RESORTS NOW TAKING BOOKINGS FOR NEWLY TRANSFORMED WYNDHAM ALLTRA PUNTA CANA |
Check out Wyndham Hotels Backtesting, Wyndham Hotels Valuation, Wyndham Hotels Correlation, Wyndham Hotels Hype Analysis, Wyndham Hotels Volatility, Wyndham Hotels History as well as Wyndham Hotels Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wyndham Hotels. If investors know Wyndham will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wyndham Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.066 | Dividend Share 1.49 | Earnings Share 3.16 | Revenue Per Share 17.164 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Wyndham Hotels Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wyndham that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wyndham Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wyndham Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wyndham Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wyndham Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wyndham Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wyndham Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wyndham Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.