WHA Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.81

WHA-R Stock  THB 5.80  0.19  3.39%   
WHA Public's future price is the expected price of WHA Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WHA Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WHA Public Backtesting, WHA Public Valuation, WHA Public Correlation, WHA Public Hype Analysis, WHA Public Volatility, WHA Public History as well as WHA Public Performance.
  
Please specify WHA Public's target price for which you would like WHA Public odds to be computed.

WHA Public Target Price Odds to finish below 5.81

The tendency of WHA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  5.81  after 90 days
 5.80 90 days 5.81 
about 85.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WHA Public to stay under  5.81  after 90 days from now is about 85.62 (This WHA Public probability density function shows the probability of WHA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WHA Public price to stay between its current price of  5.80  and  5.81  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WHA Public has a beta of 0.2. This entails as returns on the market go up, WHA Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WHA Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally WHA Public has an alpha of 0.1398, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   WHA Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WHA Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WHA Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.295.80585.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.224.35584.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.125.81133.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.875.265.66
Details

WHA Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WHA Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WHA Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WHA Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WHA Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

WHA Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WHA Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WHA Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WHA Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
WHA Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
WHA Public has accumulated 22.99 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.47, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. WHA Public has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist WHA Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, WHA Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like WHA Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for WHA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about WHA Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

WHA Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WHA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WHA Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WHA Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.9 B

WHA Public Technical Analysis

WHA Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WHA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WHA Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing WHA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WHA Public Predictive Forecast Models

WHA Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many WHA Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WHA Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WHA Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about WHA Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WHA Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WHA Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
WHA Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
WHA Public has accumulated 22.99 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.47, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. WHA Public has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist WHA Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, WHA Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like WHA Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for WHA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about WHA Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in WHA Stock

WHA Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether WHA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WHA with respect to the benefits of owning WHA Public security.