WHA Industrial (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.38

WHAIR Stock   6.60  0.10  1.54%   
WHA Industrial's future price is the expected price of WHA Industrial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WHA Industrial Leasehold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WHA Industrial Backtesting, WHA Industrial Valuation, WHA Industrial Correlation, WHA Industrial Hype Analysis, WHA Industrial Volatility, WHA Industrial History as well as WHA Industrial Performance.
  
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WHA Industrial Target Price Odds to finish below 5.38

The tendency of WHA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  5.38  or more in 90 days
 6.60 90 days 5.38 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WHA Industrial to drop to  5.38  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This WHA Industrial Leasehold probability density function shows the probability of WHA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WHA Industrial Leasehold price to stay between  5.38  and its current price of 6.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WHA Industrial has a beta of 0.18. This entails as returns on the market go up, WHA Industrial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WHA Industrial Leasehold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally WHA Industrial Leasehold has an alpha of 0.1648, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   WHA Industrial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WHA Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WHA Industrial Leasehold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.346.507.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.146.297.46
Details

WHA Industrial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WHA Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WHA Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WHA Industrial Leasehold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WHA Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

WHA Industrial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WHA Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WHA Industrial Leasehold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

WHA Industrial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WHA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WHA Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WHA Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0845
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.67
Shares Float728.6 M

WHA Industrial Technical Analysis

WHA Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WHA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WHA Industrial Leasehold. In general, you should focus on analyzing WHA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WHA Industrial Predictive Forecast Models

WHA Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many WHA Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WHA Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WHA Industrial Leasehold

Checking the ongoing alerts about WHA Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WHA Industrial Leasehold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in WHA Stock

WHA Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether WHA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WHA with respect to the benefits of owning WHA Industrial security.